An early warning system to forecast biodiversity risks of extreme temperatures

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 16 June 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02641-wClimate change is predicted to increase extremes of weather, affecting ecosystems and resulting in biodiversity losses. We leveraged advances in climate seasonal forecasts to develop an early warning system that helps identify exposure of species to extreme temperatures. The forecasts provided by this system can guide the implementation of mitigation measures.