Food security remains a major global challenge, which is only amplified by ongoing climate change. Here, I look back on a 2015 paper on climate change impacts on wheat and discuss subsequent research on agriculture and food security.
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Nature
From yield impacts to just transformation of food systems | Nature Climate Change
Abatify Summary
Nature & Climate Perspective
**The transformation of global food systems is essential for stabilizing LULUCF carbon sinks and mitigating the biodiversity loss associated with industrial agricultural expansion. **
- Climate-induced yield volatility threatens the integrity of soil organic carbon (SOC) stocks, potentially turning agricultural land from a sink into a source.
- Regenerative agriculture practices serve as a primary mechanism for biodiversity restoration and enhancing ecosystem resilience against extreme weather events.
- Sustainable intensification is required to prevent further land-use change and deforestation, maintaining the long-term environmental stability of existing primary forests.
Market & Policy Outlook
**A just transformation of food systems aligns corporate Scope 3 strategies with ICVCM Core Carbon Principles by emphasizing high-integrity additionality and permanence in agricultural carbon sequestration. **
- Regulatory shifts toward mandatory SBTi-aligned FLAG (Forest, Land, and Agriculture) targets are forcing a transition from voluntary offsets to value-chain inset investment.
- The integration of food systems into Article 6.4 mechanisms requires robust MRV (Monitoring, Reporting, and Verification) to address the ICVCM’s concerns regarding leakage and reversal risk.
- Corporate compliance with ESG frameworks is increasingly dependent on 'Just Transition' metrics, ensuring that financial liquidity reaches smallholder farmers to prevent systemic supply chain fragility.
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