Future-proofing interpretations of the Paris Agreement’s limit of well below 2 °C

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 07 July 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02685-yHere the authors show that a common interpretation of the Paris Agreement’s ‘well below 2° C’ target is changing with time, which could lead to higher overall warming. They propose that using median temperatures instead of probability ranges is more robust.