The rising risk of landslides » Yale Climate Connections

Abatify Summary

Nature & Climate Perspective

**Escalating landslide risks driven by climate extremes directly threaten the permanence and ecological integrity of terrestrial carbon sinks, creating severe physical hazards for forestry and land-use projects. **

Landslides trigger rapid biomass loss and acute soil erosion, severely undermining the long-term carbon sequestration potential and baseline measurements of LULUCF initiatives.
The compounding effects of wildfires followed by intense downpours accelerate slope destabilization, leading to catastrophic habitat fragmentation and loss of localized biodiversity.
Siltation and debris runoff from landslide events degrade downslope aquatic ecosystems, risking the stability of adjacent freshwater systems and coastal Blue Carbon buffers.

Market & Policy Outlook

**The rising frequency of climate-induced landslides introduces unprecedented permanence risks that challenge the ICVCM Core Carbon Principles (CCPs) regarding buffer pool sufficiency and long-term risk mitigation. **

Project developers face heightened regulatory and market scrutiny under ICVCM CCPs, specifically regarding the 'Permanence' criterion and the viability of multi-decade reversal risk insurance.
Escalating geohazards threaten corporate Scope 3 supply chain resilience, forcing companies aligned with SBTi to re-evaluate their exposure to land-use risks and infrastructure vulnerability.
Under Article 6.2 and Article 6.4, host nations exporting ITMOs from forest-based projects may see their sovereign risk profiles rise, potentially depressing credit pricing and market liquidity.

Climate change is supercharging hurricanes, heavy downpours, and wildfires, all of which make landslides more likely.

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Read full article at yaleclimateconnections.org

LULUCF ICVCM Core Carbon Principles Article 6.4 Scope 3 SBTi